ProjectsResearchersWorking Paper Series
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Normalization is the new threshold in South Caucasus
N. Murat Ersavcı12/08/2026

Relations between Türkiye and Armenia have long been constrained by historical legacies, unresolved conflicts and regional rivalries. Yet...

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Crimea’s 82-Year Ordeal: Memory, Resistance and the Quest for Justice
N. Murat Ersavcı21/05/2026

Eighty-two years after the deportation of the Crimean Tatar Turks, Crimea remains a symbol of one of the most enduring injustices of the modern era....

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The South Caucasus Has Become the Center of the World
Güven Sak, PhD14/05/2026

Are you aware of how much the world has changed from yesterday to today? Not for better or worse. It simply has. The Strait of Hormuz crisis that...

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The Russia-Ukraine war redefined our region
N. Murat Ersavcı12/03/2026

It has now been four years since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine. In February 2022, many observers predicted a short conflict....

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Window of opportunity in the South Caucasus
N. Murat Ersavcı07/02/2026

Relations between Türkiye and Armenia have long been constrained by history, unresolved conflicts and regional rivalries. Yet the geopolitical...

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Expect more turbulence in 2026
Güven Sak, PhD21/01/2026

2025 was the year the second term of Donald J. Trump as President of the United States started. If Trump’s first term in 2016 signified the...

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Why Türkiye’s Foreign Policy Matters More Than Ever
N. Murat Ersavcı15/01/2026

The world is entering a period of geopolitical fragility unseen in recent decades. Crises erupting simultaneously—many unfolding in Türkiye’s...

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The Balkans Back in the Spotlight: Fragility, Competition, and Türkiye’s Role
N. Murat Ersavcı07/01/2026

By the end of 2025, the Balkans is once again emerging as one of the most sensitive regions in Europe. The region is neither in a state of total...

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The Black Sea’s Strategic Reset and Türkiye’s Expanding Room for Manoeuvre
N. Murat Ersavcı17/12/2025

Nearly four years have passed since Russia launched its full-scale invasion of Ukraine in 2022. Over that period, the Black Sea has evolved from a...

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