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Yazarın Tüm Blog Yazıları

The TEPAV Financial Stress Index

Fatih Özatay, PhD23/04/2013

The TEPAV Financial Stress Index foresees the possibility of economic contraction in a given quarter two to three months ahead. GDP figures are...

World Economic Outlook from a short-term perspective

Fatih Özatay, PhD18/04/2013

Concerning Turkey’s major trading partners, growth estimate was revised down by 0.2 points for European Union and by 0.3 points for Middle East and...

MPC decisions in April meeting

Fatih Özatay, PhD17/04/2013

The Monetary Policy Committee of the Central Bank (MPC-CB) held its April meeting yesterday. The MPC decided to cut the policy rate and the interest...

Monetary Policy Board convenes

Fatih Özatay, PhD16/04/2013

Will the MPC reduce the policy rate? It might, by 0.25 points if it decided to cut the interest rate corridor. But it would be quite difficult to...

Targeting real exchange rate and reducing volatility

Fatih Özatay, PhD13/04/2013

The exchange rate regime almost becomes a pre-determined fixed-growth exchange rate regime. Before the latest shower of data, I was talking about a...

Caution against over-information

Fatih Özatay, PhD11/04/2013

I just want to stress that we have to be cautious and avoid over-excitation when using seasonally and working day adjusted series. Last time I said...

Are the signals clearer?

Fatih Özatay, PhD09/04/2013

With the industrial output growth in February, however, those signaling the start of a moderate recovery are stronger now. The most popular question...

A long way to go

Fatih Özatay, PhD06/04/2013

For the consumer price inflation to decrease to 5 percent, headline inflation must decrease to 3 percent. I want to continue with inflation dynamics...

A new perspective on inflation

Fatih Özatay, PhD04/04/2013

Global competitiveness cannot be improved simply by intentionally pushing up exchange rate. The concomitant inflation hikes offset the...

The economy grew only by 2.2 percent in 2012

Fatih Özatay, PhD02/04/2013

Is Turkey’s sustainable growth rate so far assumed to be at the 4-4.5 percent interval declining? Gross domestic product (GDP) figures for 2012 were...

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